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Who's betting on “Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?”?

Finance$11K traded41 holdersEnds November 1, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes
100%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$2.6K
by 41 wallets
Smart share · Yes
59%
21 scored holders
Smart share · No
87%
20 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

The smart money

59% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points.

Who holds it

41 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is GellerCharlie, with $1 on it, $13K lifetime profit over 296 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is LiuJeremy, with $1.2K on it, $2.1K lifetime profit over 373 markets (79% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share59%
Holders
21
Money on it
$4
Holders' win rate
68%
No100%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share87%
Holders
20
Money on it
$2.6K
Holders' win rate
74%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$4 on it

  1. 1GellerCharlie77% won of 296 · balanced$1+$13K lifetime
  2. 2BornAgain2680% won of 226$1−$5.1K lifetime
  3. 3E10ESpoascknasjdhajdDas12t22% won of 628 · noise$0+$749 lifetime
  4. 4azerty455100% won of 2$0−$24 lifetime
  5. 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$0+$132K lifetime

No$2.6K on it

  1. 1LiuJeremy79% won of 373 · balanced$1.2K+$2.1K lifetime
  2. 2PippiTrader63% won of 3,858 · whale$499+$37K lifetime
  3. 3Luckyfantom62% won of 502$223−$1.3K lifetime
  4. 4SuAlteza96% won of 232 · grinder$200+$1.1K lifetime
  5. 50x260580268540c94bEab287dA0Af298649dbECb76-177010913547481% won of 190 · balanced$104+$563 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?"?

41 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is GellerCharlie, with $1 on it, $13K lifetime profit over 296 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is LiuJeremy, with $1.2K on it, $2.1K lifetime profit over 373 markets (79% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

59% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.