Who's betting on “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?”?

Tech · $45K volume · Ends October 1, 2026 · Updated September 28, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 13¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 1, 2026.

68% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.

147 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 147 of them.

Yes87%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
68% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
63
Money on it
$16K
Holders' winrate
71%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No13%
Smart money share
43% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
84
Money on it
$2.4K
Holders' winrate
38%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?"?

147 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 147 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 13¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

68% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo