Who's betting on “Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 72 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2028.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 25 points.
Who holds it
72 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $251 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is Gerix97, with $1.0K on it, $20 lifetime profit over 99 markets (61% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $15 on Yes.
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $539
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 1 · $15
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$539 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$251+$203K lifetime
- 20x7e1a…b8bcno record yet$48+$0 lifetime
- 3Love.always.wins.over.hatred.and.envy50% won of 169$19−$4.2K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$18+$28K lifetime
- 5Ridolini84% won of 217$17−$21 lifetime
No$3.0K on it
- 1Gerix9761% won of 99$1.0K+$20 lifetime
- 2Brother35779% won of 1,056 · whale$890+$48K lifetime
- 3Romiche2260% won of 581 · balanced$758+$17K lifetime
- 4Mistercnt24% won of 50 · noise$157+$234 lifetime
- 5Cyberflems75% won of 1,110 · whale$151+$4.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Italy?
2 more- Roberto Vannacci$39K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Giorgia Meloni$14K vol.Yes 49%No 51%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?"?
72 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $251 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is Gerix97, with $1.0K on it, $20 lifetime profit over 99 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.