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Who's betting on “Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?”?

Politics$39K traded87 holdersEnds December 31, 2028Updated October 29, 2026
7%Yes
93%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 53 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$39K
traded all time
Held now
$5.7K
by 87 wallets
Smart share · Yes
35%
61 scored holders
Smart share · No
88%
26 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2028.

The smart money

35% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 62 points.

Who holds it

87 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is xMojito, with $142 on it, $197 lifetime loss over 5 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is Filobestia, with $2.5K on it, $10K lifetime profit over 111 markets (89% won).

Yes7%
Smart money share35% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 33%a day ago 33%now 35%
Holders
61
Money on it
$837
Holders' win rate
61%
No93%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share88%
7 days ago 94%a day ago 88%now 88%
Holders
26
Money on it
$4.9K
Holders' win rate
80%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$837 on it

  1. 1xMojito80% won of 5$142−$197 lifetime
  2. 2MilusCyrus50% won of 2$124+$3 lifetime
  3. 30x553a…025d100% won of 2$103−$678 lifetime
  4. 4Simoel99767% won of 3$102−$9.9K lifetime
  5. 5eggee47% won of 15$48−$288 lifetime

No$4.9K on it

  1. 1Filobestia89% won of 111 · balanced$2.5K+$10K lifetime
  2. 2Romiche2260% won of 581 · balanced$931+$17K lifetime
  3. 3Brother35779% won of 1,056 · whale$688+$48K lifetime
  4. 4drleogarcia81% won of 115$281−$17 lifetime
  5. 50x275cFEe6b4D1Da10CB6eA5B63107589E07D86090-176583099304689% won of 234 · grinder$108+$1.3K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?"?

87 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is xMojito, with $142 on it, $197 lifetime loss over 5 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is Filobestia, with $2.5K on it, $10K lifetime profit over 111 markets (89% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

35% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 62 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.