Who's betting on “Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.6K by 127 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 86 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 42% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2029.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 41 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.
Who holds it
127 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 126 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $2.3K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is Vic7hor, with $199 on it, $1.2K lifetime loss over 51 markets (39% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $133 on Yes.
- Holders
- 86
- Money on it
- $4.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 1 · $133
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.6K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$2.3K+$203K lifetime
- 20xfd0aD807712728Bc5B94F277E9C469AfafA190d8-177056843752388% won of 8$258+$1.1K lifetime
- 3PwnedUrChoice73% won of 81 · balanced$208+$1.0K lifetime
- 4Love.always.wins.over.hatred.and.envy50% won of 169$202−$4.2K lifetime
- 5Ursula0154% won of 94 · balanced$165+$151 lifetime
No$1.0K on it
- 1Vic7hor39% won of 51$199−$1.2K lifetime
- 2Filobestia89% won of 111 · balanced$148+$10K lifetime
- 3Kastellvalen67% won of 1,219$105−$1.7K lifetime
- 4RomaNord100% won of 3$83−$48 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$78+$254K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Italy?
2 more- Roberto Vannacci$39K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Silvia Salis$11K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?"?
127 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 126 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $2.3K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is Vic7hor, with $199 on it, $1.2K lifetime loss over 51 markets (39% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2029.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 41 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2029. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.