Who's betting on “Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $50K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 128 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 64 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 58% 63 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved Yes. $50K has been traded on it.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 29 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
Who holds it
128 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them.
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?
2 more- September 30$296K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- December 31$96K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?"?
128 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved Yes. $50K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 29 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved Yes. $50K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.