Who's betting on “Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 50% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $38K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.9K by 90 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 42% 35 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
90 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is STTTT, with $144 on it, $2.9K lifetime profit over 7 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is 0x1E1497A547c95DaB99F82434AbfB25cFe886C804-1762713525944, with $625 on it, $1.1K lifetime loss over 24 markets (88% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $46 on Yes.
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $721
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Snipers
- 1 · $46
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$721 on it
- 1STTTT57% won of 7$144+$2.9K lifetime
- 2resfeber42% won of 1,580$135−$9.7K lifetime
- 3InspectorGno record yet$68+$0 lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$52+$255K lifetime
- 5FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$46+$244K lifetime
No$1.2K on it
- 10x1E1497A547c95DaB99F82434AbfB25cFe886C804-176271352594488% won of 24$625−$1.1K lifetime
- 2seasonin50% won of 116 · balanced$218+$2.4K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 86,863 · noise$92+$828K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$90+$334K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,827 · noise$52+$27K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
4 more- Macky Sall$129K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Rafael Grossi$37K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- Michelle Bachelet$12K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- María Fernanda Espinosa$12K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?"?
90 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is STTTT, with $144 on it, $2.9K lifetime profit over 7 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is 0x1E1497A547c95DaB99F82434AbfB25cFe886C804-1762713525944, with $625 on it, $1.1K lifetime loss over 24 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.