Who's betting on “Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 50% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $37K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.6K by 96 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 53 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 44% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
96 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is cobble, with $109 on it, $12K lifetime loss over 179 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is InspectorG, with $777 on it, $0 lifetime profit.
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $43 on Yes.
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $718
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 1 · $43
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$718 on it
- 1cobble28% won of 179$109−$12K lifetime
- 2nearqelno record yet$104+$0 lifetime
- 3resfeber42% won of 1,580$86−$9.7K lifetime
- 4lineth67% won of 662 · whale$74+$91K lifetime
- 50xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-174601274498397% won of 242 · balanced$63+$11K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1InspectorGno record yet$777+$0 lifetime
- 2kanhaoleaha83% won of 212 · balanced$273+$209 lifetime
- 3UN-Sure83% won of 943 · balanced$220+$3.5K lifetime
- 4Kevintkenny100% won of 3$87−$5 lifetime
- 5Tingo202661% won of 206$81−$730 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
4 more- Macky Sall$129K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Rebeca Grynspan$38K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- Michelle Bachelet$12K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- María Fernanda Espinosa$12K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?"?
96 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is cobble, with $109 on it, $12K lifetime loss over 179 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is InspectorG, with $777 on it, $0 lifetime profit.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.