Who's betting on “Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.9K by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 41 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 78% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is archaic, with $44 on it, $197K lifetime profit over 1,459 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is 0xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-1766943170171, with $776 on it, $1.7K lifetime profit over 51 markets (55% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $35 on Yes.
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $213
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $35
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$213 on it
- 1archaic86% won of 1,459 · whale$44+$197K lifetime
- 2Hot-SkullHomelessBegger75% won of 71 · balanced$42+$16K lifetime
- 3FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$35+$244K lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 86,863 · noise$21+$828K lifetime
- 5balthazar53% won of 52,375 · whale$11+$1.2M lifetime
No$1.7K on it
- 10xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-176694317017155% won of 51 · balanced$776+$1.7K lifetime
- 2Tingo202661% won of 206$338−$730 lifetime
- 3johnashbough60% won of 858 · balanced$196+$3.9K lifetime
- 4JohnP9242% won of 423 · noise$184+$17K lifetime
- 5UN-Sure83% won of 943 · balanced$90+$3.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
4 more- Macky Sall$129K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Rebeca Grynspan$38K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- Rafael Grossi$37K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- Michelle Bachelet$12K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is archaic, with $44 on it, $197K lifetime profit over 1,459 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is 0xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-1766943170171, with $776 on it, $1.7K lifetime profit over 51 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.