Who's betting on “Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $62K traded all time
- Held now
- $27K by 74 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 43 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $62K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
Who holds it
74 wallets hold a position worth $27K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them. The largest Yes holder is CryptoGo, with $455 on it, $3.8K lifetime profit over 103 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is SlenderMan, with $9.3K on it, $213K lifetime loss over 577 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $25K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.9K on it
- 1CryptoGo71% won of 103 · balanced$455+$3.8K lifetime
- 20XTrumpDKXuqB91R7913e63% won of 401 · balanced$280+$3.0K lifetime
- 30x22d479bf00cf48acfeb61c174fdae8d4e530b479% won of 89$263−$13K lifetime
- 4diadjaid49% won of 511 · whale$260+$93K lifetime
- 5maritime630740% won of 377 · noise$197+$2.6K lifetime
No$25K on it
- 1SlenderMan68% won of 577$9.3K−$213K lifetime
- 2MisTKy62% won of 1,400 · whale$5.8K+$338K lifetime
- 3DonationsReceiver57% won of 542 · whale$2.0K+$47K lifetime
- 4bifurcatio77% won of 117 · balanced$1.8K+$3.5K lifetime
- 5balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$1.5K+$1.2M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?"?
74 wallets hold a position worth $27K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them. The largest Yes holder is CryptoGo, with $455 on it, $3.8K lifetime profit over 103 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is SlenderMan, with $9.3K on it, $213K lifetime loss over 577 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $62K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.