Who's betting on “Will Pedro Paulo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.2K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $11K has been traded on it.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them.
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place
3 more- Carlos Jordy$17K vol.Yes 95%No 5%Smart money: No
- Marcelo Crivella$11K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Benedita da Silva$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Pedro Paulo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Pedro Paulo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $11K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $11K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.