Who's betting on “Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.2K by 41 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 31 points.
Who holds it
41 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them.
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $206
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place
3 more- Carlos Jordy$17K vol.Yes 95%No 5%Smart money: No
- Benedita da Silva$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Pedro Paulo$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?"?
41 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.