Who's betting on “Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 42 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.1K by 64 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 44% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
The smart money
44% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
Who holds it
64 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is MissaoComFlavio, with $1.7K on it, $277K lifetime loss over 376 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is lava-lava, with $25 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 1,655 markets (47% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $137 on Yes.
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $4.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $137
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $70
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.0K on it
- 1MissaoComFlavio80% won of 376$1.7K−$277K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,697 · whale$419+$1.2M lifetime
- 3sleepymonkey41% won of 539$284−$9.2K lifetime
- 4GroovyCr0c0dil351% won of 405 · balanced$272+$1.5K lifetime
- 5only-no78% won of 67$266−$2.0K lifetime
No$70 on it
- 1lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$25+$1.2M lifetime
- 2YoungAlphaGoat54% won of 498 · whale$9+$89K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$7+$254K lifetime
- 4conherence75% won of 415 · balanced$5+$3.6K lifetime
- 5runechiters99% won of 235 · grinder$5+$2.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place
3 more- Marcelo Crivella$11K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Benedita da Silva$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Pedro Paulo$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?"?
64 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is MissaoComFlavio, with $1.7K on it, $277K lifetime loss over 376 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is lava-lava, with $25 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 1,655 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
44% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.