Who's betting on “Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $106K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 49 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 37% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $106K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xff7c…b233, with $2.1K on it, $61K lifetime profit over 500 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is 0x3ef1…c7af, with $5.2K on it.
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $4.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.5K on it
- 10xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$2.1K+$61K lifetime
- 20xf55f31a711FC229638f774b2A0378886215ff550-1730648353687no record yet$514+$0 lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$280+$334K lifetime
- 4mewmew164% won of 1,151$211−$16K lifetime
- 5DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$179+$35K lifetime
No$12K on it
- 10x3ef1…c7afno record yet$5.2K
- 2yoyobb201878% won of 1,049$4.4K−$1.7K lifetime
- 3ThanksGivingTurkey100168% won of 433 · whale$1.5K+$63K lifetime
- 4Querulous-Synthesis-Beck81% won of 42 · balanced$599+$2.3K lifetime
- 50xJasonSan78% won of 662 · whale$151+$14K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
6 more- $1.75T–$2.0T$119K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money split
- $1.25T–$1.5T$116K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- $1.5T–$1.75T$104K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- $2.5T+$88K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- $1.0T–$1.25T$71K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- $2.25T–$2.5T$31K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xff7c…b233, with $2.1K on it, $61K lifetime profit over 500 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is 0x3ef1…c7af, with $5.2K on it.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $106K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.