polkyo
Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?”?

Finance$88K traded58 holdersEnds January 1, 2028Updated October 29, 2026
4%Yes🧠 smart money
96%No

Smart money leans Yes: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 74 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$88K
traded all time
Held now
$4.1K
by 58 wallets
Smart share · Yes
77%
41 scored holders
Smart share · No
3%
17 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money moves

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.

The smart money

77% of the money on Yes and 3% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 74 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 72 points. A week ago, Yes by 67 points.

Who holds it

58 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is vinii, with $109 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is yoyobb2018, with $3.6K on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 1,049 markets (78% won).

Yes4%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share77% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 67%a day ago 75%now 77%
Holders
41
Money on it
$432
Holders' win rate
50%
No96%
Smart money share3%
7 days ago 0%a day ago 3%now 3%
Holders
17
Money on it
$3.7K
Holders' win rate
78%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$432 on it

  1. 1vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$109+$170K lifetime
  2. 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$49+$334K lifetime
  3. 3tetrose55% won of 570 · whale$36+$244K lifetime
  4. 40xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$34+$61K lifetime
  5. 5Flaner45% won of 208$31−$185K lifetime

No$3.7K on it

  1. 1yoyobb201878% won of 1,049$3.6K−$1.7K lifetime
  2. 2hp21021060% won of 372 · balanced$103+$477 lifetime
  3. 3asdfasdf1145% won of 4,422 · balanced$10+$1.0K lifetime
  4. 40x05b2…c70d53% won of 284$4−$28 lifetime
  5. 5skygoto47% won of 62$2−$478 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

More markets in What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

6 more
Who's betting on What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be? →

Other big finance markets

Every big finance market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?"?

58 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is vinii, with $109 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is yoyobb2018, with $3.6K on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 1,049 markets (78% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

77% of the money on Yes and 3% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 74 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 72 points. A week ago, Yes by 67 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.