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Who's betting on “Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?”?

Finance$119K traded58 holdersEnds January 1, 2028Updated October 29, 2026
14%Yes
87%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$119K
traded all time
Held now
$9.7K
by 58 wallets
Smart share · Yes
87%
28 scored holders
Smart share · No
90%
30 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $119K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.

The smart money

87% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.

Who holds it

58 wallets hold a position worth $9.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is DancewithRisk, with $1.2K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 335 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is Anjun, with $3.3K on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won).

Yes14%
Smart money share87% ▲ 4 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 94%a day ago 83%now 87%
Holders
28
Money on it
$2.0K
Holders' win rate
58%
No87%
Smart money share90% ▼ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 94%a day ago 91%now 90%
Holders
30
Money on it
$7.8K
Holders' win rate
57%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$2.0K on it

  1. 1DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$1.2K+$35K lifetime
  2. 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$347+$255K lifetime
  3. 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$78−$485K lifetime
  4. 4Bsau458% won of 396 · whale$65+$2.5K lifetime
  5. 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$59+$27K lifetime

No$7.8K on it

  1. 1Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$3.3K+$801K lifetime
  2. 2DerDon56% won of 1,234 · whale$3.1K+$95K lifetime
  3. 3shoobadooba1844% won of 4,418$588−$25K lifetime
  4. 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$279+$334K lifetime
  5. 5Digital-Boy16% won of 2,232$187−$78K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?"?

58 wallets hold a position worth $9.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is DancewithRisk, with $1.2K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 335 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is Anjun, with $3.3K on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $119K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

87% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.