Who's betting on “Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $257 by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 61% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $257 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is DancewithRisk, with $61 on it, $35K lifetime profit over 335 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is KHAN65, with $10 on it, $521 lifetime loss over 40 markets (88% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $209
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $48
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$209 on it
- 1DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$61+$35K lifetime
- 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$41+$334K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$28+$27K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$19+$255K lifetime
- 5Gausslois67% won of 129$14−$792 lifetime
No$48 on it
- 1KHAN6588% won of 40$10−$521 lifetime
- 2asdfasdf1145% won of 4,422 · balanced$10+$1.0K lifetime
- 3kk8s118es45% won of 4,449 · balanced$10+$883 lifetime
- 4Vanie96% won of 102$8−$243 lifetime
- 50xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-178176949978895% won of 1,703 · balanced$5+$1.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
6 more- $1.75T–$2.0T$119K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money split
- $1.25T–$1.5T$116K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- <$1T$106K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- $1.5T–$1.75T$104K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- $2.5T+$88K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- $1.0T–$1.25T$71K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $257 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is DancewithRisk, with $61 on it, $35K lifetime profit over 335 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is KHAN65, with $10 on it, $521 lifetime loss over 40 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.