Who's betting on “Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 52 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $116K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.8K by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 39% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $116K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 51 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is DancewithRisk, with $1.4K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 335 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $1.7K on it, $377K lifetime loss over 53,968 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.9K on it
- 1DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$1.4K+$35K lifetime
- 2smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$172+$106K lifetime
- 3suoha51854% won of 39$88−$1.6K lifetime
- 40xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-176736700279462% won of 610$43−$1.4K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$32+$334K lifetime
No$2.9K on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$1.7K−$377K lifetime
- 2Tenebrus766% won of 1,613 · whale$403+$154K lifetime
- 30xJasonSan78% won of 662 · whale$332+$14K lifetime
- 4rocky4201151% won of 742 · whale$167+$15K lifetime
- 5AMAM1355% won of 6,676$81−$119K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
6 more- $1.75T–$2.0T$119K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money split
- <$1T$106K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- $1.5T–$1.75T$104K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- $2.5T+$88K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- $1.0T–$1.25T$71K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- $2.25T–$2.5T$31K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is DancewithRisk, with $1.4K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 335 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $1.7K on it, $377K lifetime loss over 53,968 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $116K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 51 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.