Who's betting on “Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 70 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $71K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.8K by 63 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 22% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $71K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 61 points. A week ago, Yes by 69 points.
Who holds it
63 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is vinii, with $149 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is yoyobb2018, with $3.0K on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 1,049 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $604
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$604 on it
- 1vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$149+$170K lifetime
- 2DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$114+$35K lifetime
- 3Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$54+$163K lifetime
- 4Minteamade79% won of 200 · balanced$50+$1.0K lifetime
- 50x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-177115719040396% won of 49 · grinder$47+$1.9K lifetime
No$4.2K on it
- 1yoyobb201878% won of 1,049$3.0K−$1.7K lifetime
- 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$750+$334K lifetime
- 3acuellarF74% won of 238$141−$783 lifetime
- 4Huevers76% won of 17$55−$243 lifetime
- 5depositallfamily67% won of 21$54+$6 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
6 more- $1.75T–$2.0T$119K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money split
- $1.25T–$1.5T$116K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- <$1T$106K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- $1.5T–$1.75T$104K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- $2.5T+$88K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- $2.25T–$2.5T$31K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?"?
63 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is vinii, with $149 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is yoyobb2018, with $3.0K on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 1,049 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $71K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 61 points. A week ago, Yes by 69 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.