Who's betting on “Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 61% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 52 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $40K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 75 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 50 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 10% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 10% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points.
Who holds it
75 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is extractive-manatee, with $71 on it, $84K lifetime profit over 1,555 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $1.1K on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,080 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $175
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$175 on it
- 1extractive-manatee58% won of 1,555 · whale$71+$84K lifetime
- 2608926145529% won of 70$30−$21K lifetime
- 3Nitroglycerin43% won of 219$27−$1.8K lifetime
- 4garbagecollect164% won of 4,643 · whale$6+$6.0K lifetime
- 52B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$4+$97K lifetime
No$1.6K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,080$1.1K−$49K lifetime
- 2Late4CakeJohn99% won of 571$223−$58 lifetime
- 3iliabouchouev100% won of 5,439 · whale$100+$19K lifetime
- 4momo-091698% won of 2,921$28−$3.0K lifetime
- 5endgam99% won of 341$25−$65 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
2 more- Benjamin Netanyahu$136K vol.Yes 46%No 55%Smart money: No
- Gadi Eizenkot$119K vol.Yes 53%No 47%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?"?
75 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is extractive-manatee, with $71 on it, $84K lifetime profit over 1,555 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $1.1K on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,080 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 10% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.