Who's betting on “Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?”?
Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $136K traded all time
- Held now
- $48K by 249 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 38% 138 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 81 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 46¢ and No at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of No. $136K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
38% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 51 points.
Who holds it
249 wallets hold a position worth $48K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 219 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xab0e69B7C34a8970eBdbD4326a83F5FD2D704393-1774126692966, with $3.4K on it, $48 lifetime loss over 107 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is M2sx92kljs42, with $5.9K on it, $61K lifetime profit over 517 markets (78% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $117 on Yes.
- Holders
- 162
- Money on it
- $31K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 1 · $117
- Holders
- 87
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$31K on it
- 10xab0e69B7C34a8970eBdbD4326a83F5FD2D704393-177412669296663% won of 107$3.4K−$48 lifetime
- 2Bitcoin150K77% won of 241$2.6K−$8.1K lifetime
- 3ElsaMi70% won of 415$1.9K−$34K lifetime
- 4rektal65% won of 52 · balanced$1.6K+$10K lifetime
- 5oculus172% won of 120$1.5K−$15K lifetime
No$17K on it
- 1M2sx92kljs4278% won of 517 · whale$5.9K+$61K lifetime
- 20x7678…22a366% won of 216 · whale$2.6K+$24K lifetime
- 3MORGANVIII34% won of 239 · noise$1.3K+$5.5K lifetime
- 4sciuboi60% won of 645 · whale$1.1K+$246K lifetime
- 5macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$749−$7.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
2 more- Gadi Eizenkot$119K vol.Yes 53%No 47%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?"?
249 wallets hold a position worth $48K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 219 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xab0e69B7C34a8970eBdbD4326a83F5FD2D704393-1774126692966, with $3.4K on it, $48 lifetime loss over 107 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is M2sx92kljs42, with $5.9K on it, $61K lifetime profit over 517 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 46¢ and No at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of No. $136K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
38% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 51 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.