Who's betting on “Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?”?
Smart money leans No: 62% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $112K traded all time
- Held now
- $25K by 211 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 52% 122 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 62% 73 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 43¢ and No at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of No. $112K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
52% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points.
Who holds it
211 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 195 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $6.6K on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,031 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is lineth, with $838 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 662 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 135
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 76
- Money on it
- $5.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$19K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,031$6.6K−$49K lifetime
- 2Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$3.0K+$173K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$1.5K+$127K lifetime
- 4siick69% won of 1,040 · whale$1.0K+$97K lifetime
- 50x8AAAAC8E8523492DB360b722AF35177F4D4D51dF-176350836104483% won of 115 · whale$901+$50K lifetime
No$5.8K on it
- 1lineth67% won of 662 · whale$838+$91K lifetime
- 2wallet-account-test68% won of 214 · balanced$643+$4.2K lifetime
- 3Phenium84% won of 207$503−$20K lifetime
- 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$428−$287K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$392+$334K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
2 more- Benjamin Netanyahu$124K vol.Yes 55%No 46%Smart money: No
- Naftali Bennett$40K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?"?
211 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 195 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $6.6K on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,031 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is lineth, with $838 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 662 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 43¢ and No at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of No. $112K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
52% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.