Who's betting on “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $64K traded all time
- Held now
- $53K by 109 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 71 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 26, 2026 and resolved Yes. $64K has been traded on it.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points.
Who holds it
109 wallets hold a position worth $53K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 109 of them.
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $53K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $6
- Holders' win rate
- 17%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
9 more- Flávio Bolsonaro <2%$83K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Lula da Silva <2%$75K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-6%$67K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4%$61K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Lula da Silva 4-6%$47K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Flávio Bolsonaro 6-8%$36K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Lula da Silva 6-8%$28K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-10%$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Flávio Bolsonaro 10-12%$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?"?
109 wallets hold a position worth $53K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 109 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?"?
This market closed on October 26, 2026 and resolved Yes. $64K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 26, 2026 and resolved Yes. $64K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.