Who's betting on “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?”?
Smart money leans No: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $67K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.1K by 119 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 46% 82 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 75% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 26, 2026 and resolved No. $67K has been traded on it.
The smart money
46% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points.
Who holds it
119 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them.
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $23
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $6.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
9 more- Flávio Bolsonaro <2%$83K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Lula da Silva <2%$75K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Lula da Silva 2-4%$64K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4%$61K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Lula da Silva 4-6%$47K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Flávio Bolsonaro 6-8%$36K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Lula da Silva 6-8%$28K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-10%$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Flávio Bolsonaro 10-12%$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?"?
119 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?"?
This market closed on October 26, 2026 and resolved No. $67K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
46% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 26, 2026 and resolved No. $67K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.