Who's betting on “Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?

Sports · $426K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $426K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

59% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.

52 wallets hold a position worth $249 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is darksoul238, with $2 on it, $306 lifetime loss over 156 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is PhilHawesLover, with $129 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 414 markets (51% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share
59%
Holders
43
Money on it
$15
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
82%
Holders
9
Money on it
$233
Holders' winrate
44%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
darksoul238$2-$30667% of 156
LornaPredictsnoise$2+$30K29% of 10,707
0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa567f-1763836802268whale$2+$4.3K70% of 246
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256whale$1+$1.1K92% of 861
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.whale$1+$20K98% of 821
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
PhilHawesLoverwhale$129+$15K51% of 414
0x9dd9…08bdnoise$62+$36K15% of 737
noise126trader$40-$51763% of 207
Rocamado$1-$12299% of 357
pasporwhale$1+$40K64% of 286
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

52 wallets hold a position worth $249 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is darksoul238, with $2 on it, $306 lifetime loss over 156 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is PhilHawesLover, with $129 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 414 markets (51% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $426K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

59% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo