Who's betting on “Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?
Sports · $265K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $265K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
52% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 48 points. A week ago, No by 73 points.
33 wallets hold a position worth $202 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest Yes holder is darksoul238, with $4 on it, $306 lifetime loss over 156 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is mo90cfy, with $111 on it, $8 lifetime profit over 21 markets (100% won).
- Smart money share
- 52%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $18
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 99%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $183
- Holders' winrate
- 87%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| darksoul238 | $4 | -$306 | 67% of 156 |
| peepeepooppoopwhale | $4 | +$8.5K | 65% of 1,377 |
| 2kparabellum | $3 | -$95 | 91% of 151 |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256whale | $1 | +$1.1K | 92% of 861 |
| awgraewrfa | $1 | +$20 | 100% of 4 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| mo90cfy | $111 | +$8 | 100% of 21 |
| jagakaga228balanced | $41 | +$1.0K | 69% of 36 |
| 0x8F34e45Fe06d6faD7D9d9d2738859a4022C02f50-1769571271220whale | $30 | +$5.1K | 62% of 8,732 |
| DImmanuel74635 | $1 | -$875 | 72% of 43 |
| neutralwave23 | $0 | -$2.9M | 72% of 27,242 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
- Jiří Procházka$426K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Khalil Rountree Jr.$144K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
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- Magomed Ankalaev$37K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Volkan Oezdemir$37K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
- Alex Pereira$18K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Carlos Ulberg$12K vol.Yes 96%No 5%Smart money split
Who's betting on Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
33 wallets hold a position worth $202 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest Yes holder is darksoul238, with $4 on it, $306 lifetime loss over 156 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is mo90cfy, with $111 on it, $8 lifetime profit over 21 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $265K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
52% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 48 points. A week ago, No by 73 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.