Who's betting on “Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?
Sports · $18K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
89% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.
59 wallets hold a position worth $974 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD., with $7 on it, $22K lifetime profit over 3,098 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $471 on it, $75K lifetime loss over 1,268 markets (52% won).
- Smart money share
- 89% ▲ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $44
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 39%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $930
- Holders' winrate
- 47%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.whale | $7 | +$22K | 98% of 3,098 |
| Robbbwhale | $7 | +$80K | 81% of 428 |
| 2B9Snoise | $6 | +$97K | 27% of 13,104 |
| 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa567f-1763836802268whale | $4 | +$4.3K | 70% of 246 |
| LornaPredictsnoise | $3 | +$30K | 29% of 11,042 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong | $471 | -$75K | 52% of 1,268 |
| mwenyawhale | $185 | +$116K | 51% of 1,058 |
| 0x9dd9…08bdnoise | $148 | +$36K | 15% of 737 |
| GUINESS123 | $55 | -$59K | 70% of 526 |
| ooops | $32 | -$5.8K | 65% of 204 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
- Jiří Procházka$426K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
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- Khalil Rountree Jr.$144K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- Jamahal Hill$60K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Magomed Ankalaev$37K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Volkan Oezdemir$37K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
- Carlos Ulberg$12K vol.Yes 96%No 5%Smart money split
Who's betting on Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $974 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD., with $7 on it, $22K lifetime profit over 3,098 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $471 on it, $75K lifetime loss over 1,268 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.