Who's betting on “Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.8K by 87 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 40 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 55% 47 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
Who holds it
87 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x67d05678B89f84F7432A4c8408143135c9b1Db7A-1768931658497, with $127 on it, $8.2K lifetime profit over 239 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $869 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $271
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $4.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$271 on it
- 10x67d05678B89f84F7432A4c8408143135c9b1Db7A-176893165849741% won of 239 · noise$127+$8.2K lifetime
- 2MrMelonHead66% won of 381 · whale$34+$12K lifetime
- 3AharonYediot32% won of 47$22−$2.8K lifetime
- 4rocky4201056% won of 658 · whale$17+$14K lifetime
- 5meagainsttheworld76% won of 1,058 · whale$15+$142K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x67d05678B89f84F7432A4c8408143135c9b1Db7A-1768931658497, with $127 on it, $8.2K lifetime profit over 239 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $869 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.