Who's betting on “Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.3K by 128 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 67% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 83 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 21, 2026. $16K has been traded on it.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
128 wallets hold a position worth $8.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 125 of them.
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $8.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 86
- Money on it
- $112
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.4M vol.Yes 38%No 63%Smart money: Yes
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$987K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?"?
128 wallets hold a position worth $8.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 125 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 21, 2026. $16K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 21, 2026. $16K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.