Who's betting on “Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.9K by 64 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
Who holds it
64 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gohst, with $290 on it, $298K lifetime profit over 1,056 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Valen9, with $1.8K on it, $231K lifetime profit over 900 markets (62% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $715
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$715 on it
- 1Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$290+$298K lifetime
- 2LaPulgaAtomica76% won of 310$201−$4.4K lifetime
- 3d4ndr3z67% won of 200 · balanced$56+$1.8K lifetime
- 4spencer-dev20-a255c43% won of 7$38+$286 lifetime
- 5Zurdolopez92% won of 206 · balanced$26+$394 lifetime
No$4.2K on it
- 1Valen962% won of 900 · whale$1.8K+$231K lifetime
- 2Bperil55% won of 391 · whale$982+$26K lifetime
- 3D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$445+$85K lifetime
- 4crypto-basenji47% won of 409 · whale$258+$3.6K lifetime
- 5asdasdasdasdasdasdasd76% won of 241 · balanced$208+$23K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?"?
64 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gohst, with $290 on it, $298K lifetime profit over 1,056 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Valen9, with $1.8K on it, $231K lifetime profit over 900 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.