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Who's betting on “Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?”?

Politics$10K traded68 holdersEnds January 1, 2028Updated October 29, 2026
6%Yes🧠 smart money
94%No

Smart money leans Yes: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$10K
traded all time
Held now
$1.0K
by 68 wallets
Smart share · Yes
96%
44 scored holders
Smart share · No
54%
24 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.

The smart money

96% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points.

Who holds it

68 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $82 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $119 on it, $164K lifetime profit over 15,901 markets (56% won).

Yes6%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share96%
Holders
44
Money on it
$384
Holders' win rate
52%
No94%
Smart money share54%
Holders
24
Money on it
$646
Holders' win rate
65%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$384 on it

  1. 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$82+$179K lifetime
  2. 2dhadad0156% won of 173 · balanced$46+$2.9K lifetime
  3. 3balthazar53% won of 52,375 · whale$37+$1.2M lifetime
  4. 4MEPP62% won of 1,084 · whale$33+$559K lifetime
  5. 5buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$24+$83K lifetime

No$646 on it

  1. 1Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,901 · whale$119+$164K lifetime
  2. 2black456274% won of 710 · balanced$106+$478 lifetime
  3. 3Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$80+$570 lifetime
  4. 4rocky4201653% won of 688$74−$8.0K lifetime
  5. 5endgam99% won of 341$48−$65 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?"?

68 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $82 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $119 on it, $164K lifetime profit over 15,901 markets (56% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

96% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.