Who's betting on “Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $41K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.1K by 91 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 63 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 34¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
Who holds it
91 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $908 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is TelAvivQuant, with $2.6K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 85 markets (73% won).
- Holders
- 63
- Money on it
- $4.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $4.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.0K on it
- 1buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$908+$83K lifetime
- 2RAJAGO33% won of 152 · noise$559+$1.3K lifetime
- 3HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$457+$179K lifetime
- 40xefce…4e4a51% won of 202$451−$82K lifetime
- 5whig59% won of 1,153 · whale$345+$312K lifetime
No$4.0K on it
- 1TelAvivQuant73% won of 85 · balanced$2.6K+$11K lifetime
- 2Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,861 · whale$928+$163K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 53,882$169−$377K lifetime
- 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$159−$287K lifetime
- 5Jumbajuz92% won of 322$67−$6.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?"?
91 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $908 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is TelAvivQuant, with $2.6K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 85 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 34¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.