Who's betting on “Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $65K traded all time
- Held now
- $16K by 131 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 71 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 59 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 52¢, a 52% implied chance of No. $65K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
Who holds it
131 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 130 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $3.7K on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,031 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is gm-gg-gn, with $2.4K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 25 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $9.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $6.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9.2K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,031$3.7K−$49K lifetime
- 2HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$1.0K+$179K lifetime
- 3ydxistheking59% won of 261 · whale$755+$46K lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$551+$203K lifetime
- 5JackMoneyEth85% won of 200$503−$11K lifetime
No$6.8K on it
- 1gm-gg-gn48% won of 25 · noise$2.4K+$17K lifetime
- 2flawfence75% won of 499 · whale$734+$1.1M lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$688+$127K lifetime
- 4whig59% won of 1,153 · whale$638+$312K lifetime
- 50xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-178705804843855% won of 2,352$621−$2.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many Israeli elections before government formed?
2 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?"?
131 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 130 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $3.7K on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,031 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is gm-gg-gn, with $2.4K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 25 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 52¢, a 52% implied chance of No. $65K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.