Who's betting on “Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 47% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $91 by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 47% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 30% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 10, 2027.
The smart money
47% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $91 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is Haradwaith, with $1 on it, $378K lifetime loss over 54,120 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $38 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,301 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $83
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8 on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$1−$378K lifetime
- 2Akbar127% won of 128$1−$971 lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$0+$28K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$0+$254K lifetime
- 5Hugin-og-Munin42% won of 15,654 · whale$0+$21K lifetime
No$83 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,301$38−$52K lifetime
- 2Horaizon37% won of 46$15−$34 lifetime
- 3GingerMcKenna36% won of 5,074 · noise$11+$42K lifetime
- 4slavazay57% won of 76 · balanced$5+$165 lifetime
- 5no1biao43% won of 230 · noise$5+$5.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in China Annual Inflation 2026
4 more- 0.6 – 1.0%$25K vol.Yes 62%No 38%Smart money split
- 1.1 – 1.5%$25K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- 0.1 – 0.5%$13K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- 2.0-2.4%$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$959K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $91 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is Haradwaith, with $1 on it, $378K lifetime loss over 54,120 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $38 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,301 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 10, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
47% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 10, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.