Who's betting on “Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $459 by 70 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 10, 2027.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.
Who holds it
70 wallets hold a position worth $459 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $2 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,917 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is 387411007415611814092217897387, with $316 on it, $102K lifetime profit over 1,806 markets (77% won).
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $9
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $450
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$2+$28K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$1−$485K lifetime
- 3rocky4201952% won of 863 · whale$1+$19K lifetime
- 40x3a9d…f33284% won of 95$0−$773 lifetime
- 5Hugin-og-Munin42% won of 15,654 · whale$0+$21K lifetime
No$450 on it
- 138741100741561181409221789738777% won of 1,806 · whale$316+$102K lifetime
- 20xrc85% won of 351 · whale$48+$29K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,301$38−$52K lifetime
- 4GingerMcKenna36% won of 5,074 · noise$11+$42K lifetime
- 5tryle93% won of 91$10−$57 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in China Annual Inflation 2026
4 more- 0.6 – 1.0%$25K vol.Yes 62%No 38%Smart money split
- 1.1 – 1.5%$25K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- <-1.0%$21K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 0.1 – 0.5%$13K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$959K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?"?
70 wallets hold a position worth $459 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $2 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,917 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is 387411007415611814092217897387, with $316 on it, $102K lifetime profit over 1,806 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 10, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 10, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.