Who's betting on “Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.2K by 117 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 58 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 59 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 62¢ and No at 38¢, a 62% implied chance of Yes. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 10, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.
Who holds it
117 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 117 of them. The largest Yes holder is MaxEnt, with $2.3K on it, $816 lifetime profit over 365 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is AiBird, with $412 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $339 on No.
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 1 · $339
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.9K on it
- 1MaxEnt41% won of 365 · noise$2.3K+$816 lifetime
- 2k1ngslayer83% won of 237 · balanced$435+$2.6K lifetime
- 3AlexWHLUX74% won of 125 · balanced$210+$2.3K lifetime
- 4BornAgain2680% won of 226$143−$5.1K lifetime
- 5Hugin-og-Munin42% won of 15,654 · whale$99+$21K lifetime
No$1.3K on it
- 1AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$412+$122K lifetime
- 2FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$339+$244K lifetime
- 3Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$211+$801K lifetime
- 4TrashGirl70% won of 318$52−$50 lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$46−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in China Annual Inflation 2026
4 more- 1.1 – 1.5%$25K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- <-1.0%$21K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 0.1 – 0.5%$13K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- 2.0-2.4%$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$954K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?"?
117 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 117 of them. The largest Yes holder is MaxEnt, with $2.3K on it, $816 lifetime profit over 365 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is AiBird, with $412 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 62¢ and No at 38¢, a 62% implied chance of Yes. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 10, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 10, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.