Who's betting on “Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $56K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.7K by 137 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 75 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 62 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
Who holds it
137 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 137 of them.
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $709
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $4.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?"?
137 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 137 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.