Who's betting on “Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $34K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 93 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 80 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
63% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
Who holds it
93 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is Slenderman-819, with $50 on it, $12K lifetime loss over 56 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $2.1K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,842 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 80
- Money on it
- $183
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$183 on it
- 1Slenderman-81923% won of 56$50−$12K lifetime
- 2occasionalAwareness63% won of 1,003 · whale$20+$1.1M lifetime
- 3planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$18+$132K lifetime
- 4JordanMooney35% won of 2,636 · noise$11+$28K lifetime
- 50x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-177115719040396% won of 49 · grinder$10+$1.9K lifetime
No$2.2K on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,842 · whale$2.1K+$1.2M lifetime
- 2JoE86% won of 219 · whale$49+$1.8K lifetime
- 3wert460% won of 696 · balanced$19+$615 lifetime
- 4Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$16+$560 lifetime
- 5ruiMcosta99% won of 217 · grinder$6+$407 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
6 more- <100B$178K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 100–200B$89K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 300–400B$84K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 600B+$64K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money split
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$51K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- 200–300B$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
93 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is Slenderman-819, with $50 on it, $12K lifetime loss over 56 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $2.1K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,842 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.