Who's betting on “Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $89K traded all time
- Held now
- $25 by 80 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 74% 68 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 49% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $89K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
74% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
Who holds it
80 wallets hold a position worth $25 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 80 of them. The largest Yes holder is occasionalAwareness, with $2 on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 1,003 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is FlashTradeOracleTester, with $5 on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 251 markets (88% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Holders
- 68
- Money on it
- $10
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $14
- Holders' win rate
- 88%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$10 on it
- 1occasionalAwareness63% won of 1,003 · whale$2+$1.1M lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,842 · whale$1+$1.2M lifetime
- 3Anne66659% won of 794 · whale$1+$15K lifetime
- 42kparabellum90% won of 154$1−$99 lifetime
- 5JordanMooney35% won of 2,636 · noise$1+$28K lifetime
No$14 on it
- 1FlashTradeOracleTester88% won of 251$5−$3.0K lifetime
- 2BalthazarCroix100% won of 16$2+$349 lifetime
- 3CassianThalassa100% won of 7$2−$266 lifetime
- 4MrMarket70% won of 513 · whale$2+$18K lifetime
- 5dca168% won of 31 · balanced$2+$24 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
6 more- <100B$178K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 300–400B$84K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 600B+$64K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money split
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$51K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- 400–600B$34K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 200–300B$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
80 wallets hold a position worth $25 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 80 of them. The largest Yes holder is occasionalAwareness, with $2 on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 1,003 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is FlashTradeOracleTester, with $5 on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 251 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $89K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
74% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.