Who's betting on “Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 47 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $51K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.0K by 119 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 85 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 29% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.
Who holds it
119 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 119 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403, with $67 on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 49 markets (96% won). The largest No holder is yoyobb2018, with $894 on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 1,049 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $509
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$509 on it
- 10x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-177115719040396% won of 49 · grinder$67+$1.9K lifetime
- 2occasionalAwareness63% won of 1,003 · whale$66+$1.1M lifetime
- 3JordanMooney35% won of 2,636 · noise$32+$28K lifetime
- 4balthazar53% won of 52,842 · whale$28+$1.2M lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$28+$28K lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 1yoyobb201878% won of 1,049$894−$1.7K lifetime
- 2Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$260+$1.5M lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$88+$335K lifetime
- 4mantisfed82% won of 38$53−$607 lifetime
- 5cryptoincome91% won of 1,010$32−$18K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
6 more- <100B$178K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 100–200B$89K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 300–400B$84K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 600B+$64K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money split
- 400–600B$34K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 200–300B$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?"?
119 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 119 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403, with $67 on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 49 markets (96% won). The largest No holder is yoyobb2018, with $894 on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 1,049 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.