Who's betting on “Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $84K traded all time
- Held now
- $43 by 84 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 58% 72 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $84K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
58% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
Who holds it
84 wallets hold a position worth $43 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 84 of them. The largest Yes holder is brickzflip, with $3 on it, $49 lifetime loss over 130 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is ruiMcosta, with $10 on it, $407 lifetime profit over 217 markets (99% won).
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $21
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $23
- Holders' win rate
- 83%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$21 on it
- 1brickzflip42% won of 130$3−$49 lifetime
- 20x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-177115719040396% won of 49 · grinder$3+$1.9K lifetime
- 3YesVolume57% won of 89$2−$708 lifetime
- 4occasionalAwareness63% won of 1,003 · whale$2+$1.1M lifetime
- 5JordanMooney35% won of 2,636 · noise$1+$28K lifetime
No$23 on it
- 1ruiMcosta99% won of 217 · grinder$10+$407 lifetime
- 2FlashTradeOracleTester88% won of 251$5−$3.0K lifetime
- 3wert460% won of 696 · balanced$5+$615 lifetime
- 4paspor61% won of 367 · whale$2+$41K lifetime
- 5mustbethewater45% won of 27,645 · whale$0+$74K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
6 more- <100B$178K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 100–200B$89K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 600B+$64K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money split
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$51K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- 400–600B$34K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 200–300B$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
84 wallets hold a position worth $43 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 84 of them. The largest Yes holder is brickzflip, with $3 on it, $49 lifetime loss over 130 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is ruiMcosta, with $10 on it, $407 lifetime profit over 217 markets (99% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $84K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.