Who's betting on “Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $64K traded all time
- Held now
- $29K by 134 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 81 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 53 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $64K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
134 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 134 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x478D9E24fDea478C0E74eF69F483A2A087140350-1775311916359, with $9.3K on it, $261 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is occasionalAwareness, with $91 on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 1,003 markets (63% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $118 on Yes.
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $29K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 1 · $118
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $242
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$29K on it
- 10x478D9E24fDea478C0E74eF69F483A2A087140350-1775311916359100% won of 1$9.3K+$261 lifetime
- 2GollumGekko73% won of 1,183 · whale$4.7K+$290K lifetime
- 30x68a4…fd2f100% won of 2$2.7K+$112 lifetime
- 4QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$1.6K+$57K lifetime
- 5balthazar53% won of 52,697 · whale$1.2K+$1.2M lifetime
No$242 on it
- 1occasionalAwareness63% won of 1,003 · whale$91+$1.1M lifetime
- 2Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$49+$154K lifetime
- 3Ondra62% won of 212 · whale$19+$21K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$16+$28K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$12+$254K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
6 more- <100B$178K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 100–200B$89K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 300–400B$84K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$51K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- 400–600B$34K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 200–300B$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
134 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 134 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x478D9E24fDea478C0E74eF69F483A2A087140350-1775311916359, with $9.3K on it, $261 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is occasionalAwareness, with $91 on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 1,003 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $64K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.