Who's betting on “Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.3K by 85 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 34¢ and No at 67¢, a 67% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
85 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x84828283773829, with $383 on it, $27K lifetime loss over 372 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is 8dcc906a9b, with $490 on it, $38K lifetime loss over 160 markets (54% won).
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.8K on it
- 10x8482828377382938% won of 372$383−$27K lifetime
- 20x998b15b43cdfa6865% won of 219 · balanced$222+$1.1K lifetime
- 3LosingEverything1231231232312362% won of 947 · balanced$217+$1.5K lifetime
- 4X-Rabbit.Sezu65% won of 489 · whale$151+$35K lifetime
- 5rewardbots59% won of 401 · whale$142+$80K lifetime
No$1.6K on it
- 18dcc906a9b54% won of 160$490−$38K lifetime
- 235066FE58fe41% won of 1,762 · noise$301+$38K lifetime
- 3rocky4200654% won of 1,531$213−$12K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive144% won of 27,320$106−$218K lifetime
- 5Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed57% won of 17,785 · whale$97+$166K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$930K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$598K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Too little scored money to compare
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$532K vol.Yes 53%No 48%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$520K vol.Yes 54%No 46%Smart money: Yes
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$496K vol.Yes 37%No 64%Smart money split
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?$446K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$361K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?"?
85 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x84828283773829, with $383 on it, $27K lifetime loss over 372 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is 8dcc906a9b, with $490 on it, $38K lifetime loss over 160 markets (54% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 34¢ and No at 67¢, a 67% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.