Who's betting on “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $48K traded all time
- Held now
- $10K by 67 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 40 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 61¢ and No at 40¢, a 61% implied chance of Yes. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2027.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 7 points.
Who holds it
67 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is l3t0, with $2.8K on it, $13K lifetime profit over 112 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is DirkDiggler67, with $1.9K on it, $141K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $8.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8.2K on it
- 1l3t048% won of 112 · noise$2.8K+$13K lifetime
- 2Gladius766% won of 249 · balanced$1.1K+$33K lifetime
- 3aenews273% won of 1,134 · whale$927+$2.4M lifetime
- 40xa169…1b7350% won of 1,541 · balanced$700+$6.9K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$673+$325K lifetime
No$2.3K on it
- 1DirkDiggler6758% won of 1,069 · whale$1.9K+$141K lifetime
- 2donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$269+$829K lifetime
- 3televisionloud42% won of 15,385$57−$18K lifetime
- 4PK12347% won of 250$40−$1.9K lifetime
- 50x9dE6461495bD48520077608AC9eF012A6EaBE7f0-178211214300361% won of 892$20−$528 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?"?
67 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is l3t0, with $2.8K on it, $13K lifetime profit over 112 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is DirkDiggler67, with $1.9K on it, $141K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 61¢ and No at 40¢, a 61% implied chance of Yes. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.