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Who's betting on “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?”?

Politics$23K traded63 holdersEnds December 31, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
31%Yes🧠 smart money
69%No

Smart money leans Yes: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$23K
traded all time
Held now
$3.0K
by 63 wallets
Smart share · Yes
74%
35 scored holders
Smart share · No
42%
28 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2027.

The smart money

74% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.

Who holds it

63 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is PropheticFire, with $958 on it, $42K lifetime profit over 56 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is pootytherewardfarmer, with $92 on it, $320K lifetime loss over 10,703 markets (35% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.

Yes31%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share74%
7 days ago 77%a day ago 74%now 74%
Holders
35
Money on it
$2.6K
Holders' win rate
58%
Snipers
1 · $0
No69%
Smart money share42%
7 days ago 41%a day ago 42%now 42%
Holders
28
Money on it
$394
Holders' win rate
37%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$2.6K on it

  1. 1PropheticFire66% won of 56 · whale$958+$42K lifetime
  2. 20xa169…1b7350% won of 1,541 · balanced$357+$6.9K lifetime
  3. 3DirkDiggler6758% won of 1,069 · whale$350+$141K lifetime
  4. 4moneymakingmachine58% won of 1,109$309−$12K lifetime
  5. 5ifyouloveme49% won of 512 · whale$131+$17K lifetime

No$394 on it

  1. 1pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$92−$320K lifetime
  2. 215billionplus14% won of 1,406$86−$11K lifetime
  3. 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$44+$254K lifetime
  4. 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$36+$335K lifetime
  5. 5cloverpmq253% won of 4,420 · balanced$28+$4.4K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?"?

63 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is PropheticFire, with $958 on it, $42K lifetime profit over 56 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is pootytherewardfarmer, with $92 on it, $320K lifetime loss over 10,703 markets (35% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

74% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.