Who's betting on “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.2K by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2027.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is Viserys, with $370 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 308 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is 123987456, with $172 on it, $50K lifetime profit over 2,427 markets (44% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $370 on Yes.
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $752
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 1 · $370
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $425
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$752 on it
- 1Viserys81% won of 308 · sniper$370+$15K lifetime
- 20xa169…1b7350% won of 1,505 · balanced$107+$6.6K lifetime
- 3rousseauuu79% won of 156 · whale$92+$23K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$78+$255K lifetime
- 52B9S27% won of 14,477 · noise$22+$97K lifetime
No$425 on it
- 112398745644% won of 2,427 · whale$172+$50K lifetime
- 20x99Df62d756AF61593fb63c052C62EdF3e0139639-177000503094760% won of 10$167+$75 lifetime
- 3Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,956 · whale$45+$163K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$37−$377K lifetime
- 5POB-T40% won of 3,853$3−$13K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is Viserys, with $370 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 308 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is 123987456, with $172 on it, $50K lifetime profit over 2,427 markets (44% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.