Who's betting on “US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 53 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $81K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.2K by 114 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 23% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 68 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $81K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
23% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.
Who holds it
114 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x5228…33c1, with $40 on it, $994 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is Krass, with $728 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 201 markets (86% won).
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $155
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 68
- Money on it
- $5.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$155 on it
- 10x5228…33c1no record yet$40−$994 lifetime
- 2bayareahousepartyno record yet$35−$320 lifetime
- 30x5317C12ad7EaFF1C21ADA466Ff0D92fA653A1930-17683413087960% won of 1$24−$4.9K lifetime
- 4rocky4200254% won of 956 · whale$9+$8.1K lifetime
- 5spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$7+$27K lifetime
No$5.1K on it
- 1Krass86% won of 201 · balanced$728+$14K lifetime
- 2Tremirorot61% won of 215 · balanced$724+$11K lifetime
- 3bazooka151% won of 236 · balanced$589+$1.3K lifetime
- 4TwoTierKeir85% won of 65$383−$61K lifetime
- 595074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b0492% won of 1,009 · whale$265+$146K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?"?
114 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x5228…33c1, with $40 on it, $994 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is Krass, with $728 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 201 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $81K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
23% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.