Who's betting on “US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $35K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.4K by 71 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.
Who holds it
71 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is paddaa, with $179 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is LJa7io23MCv954j, with $2.7K on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 134 markets (87% won).
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $501
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$501 on it
- 1paddaa58% won of 1,507 · whale$179+$288K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$46−$378K lifetime
- 30xcBb3eA6B4b4720867Cada6fd0fcb9179D710d3F2-176898816664470% won of 20 · balanced$44+$310 lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$40+$254K lifetime
- 5PROPHET.NOTES43% won of 237 · noise$32+$4.0K lifetime
No$3.9K on it
- 1LJa7io23MCv954j87% won of 134 · whale$2.7K+$2.6K lifetime
- 2wallet-account-test68% won of 214 · balanced$371+$4.2K lifetime
- 30x6c10…df5c66% won of 1,065$273−$70K lifetime
- 4Drunken-Mentat76% won of 223 · balanced$175+$5.4K lifetime
- 5Tenk199450% won of 249$89−$2.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?"?
71 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is paddaa, with $179 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is LJa7io23MCv954j, with $2.7K on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 134 markets (87% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.