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Who's betting on “Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?”?

Finance$15K traded51 holdersEnds December 31, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
2%Yes🧠 smart money
98%No

Smart money leans Yes: 59% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 39 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$15K
traded all time
Held now
$5.7K
by 51 wallets
Smart share · Yes
59%
31 scored holders
Smart share · No
20%
20 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

The smart money

59% of the money on Yes and 20% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.

Who holds it

51 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is havarra, with $36 on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 191 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is lexswitz, with $3.4K on it, $2.8K lifetime loss over 152 markets (65% won).

Yes2%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share59%
7 days ago 59%a day ago 59%now 59%
Holders
31
Money on it
$100
Holders' win rate
57%
No98%
Smart money share20%
7 days ago 24%a day ago 20%now 20%
Holders
20
Money on it
$5.6K
Holders' win rate
75%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$100 on it

  1. 1havarra62% won of 191 · whale$36+$2.6K lifetime
  2. 2ditto100186% won of 37$15−$513 lifetime
  3. 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$14+$28K lifetime
  4. 4Nbeneli75% won of 4$9−$42 lifetime
  5. 50xAC382928a693C9C342c92feD3552E260aaCfC565-176770608904843% won of 28$8−$1.9K lifetime

No$5.6K on it

  1. 1lexswitz65% won of 152$3.4K−$2.8K lifetime
  2. 2Alegrandebig92% won of 1,242$540−$12K lifetime
  3. 3punter9093% won of 238$362−$1.2K lifetime
  4. 4degenpunter94% won of 240 · balanced$299+$5.3K lifetime
  5. 5pleasegodletmewin91% won of 165 · balanced$295+$5.7K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?"?

51 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is havarra, with $36 on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 191 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is lexswitz, with $3.4K on it, $2.8K lifetime loss over 152 markets (65% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

59% of the money on Yes and 20% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.