Who's betting on “Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $27K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.4K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 64% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 70¢, a 70% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
64% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $9.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is ng6000, with $619 on it, $41K lifetime profit over 972 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is Avamax, with $2.0K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 770 markets (74% won).
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $6.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.8K on it
- 1ng600080% won of 972 · whale$619+$41K lifetime
- 20x36c227F14DB5eb55cFCcB6cFa2881De3aa4f76F4-1783014170298no record yet$459+$0 lifetime
- 3smolbrain0x38% won of 208 · noise$450+$50K lifetime
- 4stranger66671% won of 7$241+$721 lifetime
- 50x74B4F9447B14b12308963FC048Ae363EB0756bEA-176917082615975% won of 417 · whale$214+$41K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
6 more- ↓ $5,200$82K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- ↓ $6,200$76K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- ↓ $4,500$70K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- ↓ $5,800$52K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- ↑ $8,600$41K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money split
- ↑ $9,300$15K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $9.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is ng6000, with $619 on it, $41K lifetime profit over 972 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is Avamax, with $2.0K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 770 markets (74% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 70¢, a 70% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.